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Part IA Easter Term

Standard Normal Distribution

Standard Normal

The standard normal ZN(0,1)Z \sim N(0, 1) has:

  • Mean μ=0\mu = 0
  • Variance σ2=1\sigma^2 = 1
  • PDF: ϕ(z)=12πez2/2\phi(z) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} e^{-z^2/2}
  • CDF: Φ(z)=P(Zz)=zϕ(t)dt\Phi(z) = P(Z \leq z) = \int_{-\infty}^{z} \phi(t) \, dt

Why Standardise?

No closed form exists for Φ(z)\Phi(z). We use tables or software to find Φ(z)\Phi(z) for specific zz.

Tables give Φ(z)\Phi(z) for positive zz. By symmetry:

Φ(z)=1Φ(z)\Phi(-z) = 1 - \Phi(z)

Common Values

zzΦ(z)\Phi(z)
0.00.5000
0.50.6915
1.00.8413
1.50.9332
1.6450.9500
1.960.9750
2.00.9772
2.50.9938
3.00.9987

Using Tables

Finding P(Zz)P(Z \leq z) for z>0z > 0

Look up zz in the table.

Finding P(Zz)P(Z \leq z) for z<0z < 0

Use symmetry: Φ(z)=1Φ(z)\Phi(-|z|) = 1 - \Phi(|z|).

Example: P(Z1.5)=1P(Z1.5)=10.9332=0.0668P(Z \leq -1.5) = 1 - P(Z \leq 1.5) = 1 - 0.9332 = 0.0668.

Finding P(aZb)P(a \leq Z \leq b)

P(aZb)=Φ(b)Φ(a)P(a \leq Z \leq b) = \Phi(b) - \Phi(a)

Example: P(1Z2)=Φ(2)Φ(1)=0.97720.1587=0.8185P(-1 \leq Z \leq 2) = \Phi(2) - \Phi(-1) = 0.9772 - 0.1587 = 0.8185.

Inverse: Finding Quantiles

Given Φ(zp)=p\Phi(z_p) = p, find zpz_p.

For p>0.5p > 0.5: Look up the value directly.

For p<0.5p < 0.5: Use symmetry: zp=z1pz_p = -z_{1-p}.

Critical Values

Probabilityzz value
90%±1.645\pm 1.645
95%±1.96\pm 1.96
99%±2.576\pm 2.576

These are central interval boundaries.

Standardisation

For XN(μ,σ2)X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2):

  1. Convert XX to ZZ: Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}
  2. Look up Φ(z)\Phi(z)
  3. Interpret the result

Example: Battery Lifetime

Batteries have mean lifetime 500 hours, SD 20 hours, normally distributed. What proportion last over 530 hours?

P(X>530)=P(Z>53050020)=P(Z>1.5)P(X > 530) = P\left(Z > \frac{530 - 500}{20}\right) = P(Z > 1.5)

=1Φ(1.5)=10.9332=0.0668= 1 - \Phi(1.5) = 1 - 0.9332 = 0.0668

About 6.68%.

Example: Within k Standard Deviations

What proportion of values lie within 1.5 standard deviations of the mean?

P(Z<1.5)=P(1.5<Z<1.5)=Φ(1.5)Φ(1.5)P(|Z| < 1.5) = P(-1.5 < Z < 1.5) = \Phi(1.5) - \Phi(-1.5)

=Φ(1.5)(1Φ(1.5))=2Φ(1.5)1= \Phi(1.5) - (1 - \Phi(1.5)) = 2\Phi(1.5) - 1

=2(0.9332)1=0.8664= 2(0.9332) - 1 = 0.8664

About 86.6%.

PDF Properties

Symmetry

ϕ(z)=ϕ(z)\phi(-z) = \phi(z) ϕ(z) maximised at z=0\phi(z) \text{ maximised at } z = 0 ϕ(0)=12π0.399\phi(0) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} \approx 0.399

Asymptotic

limz±ϕ(z)=0\lim_{z \to \pm\infty} \phi(z) = 0

The tails approach zero but never reach it.

Summary

TaskMethod
P(Zz)P(Z \leq z), z>0z > 0Look up in table
P(Zz)P(Z \leq z), z<0z < 0$1 - \Phi(
P(aZb)P(a \leq Z \leq b)Φ(b)Φ(a)\Phi(b) - \Phi(a)
P(Z>z)P(Z > z)1Φ(z)1 - \Phi(z)
Find zpz_p from ppInverse lookup or symmetry