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Part IA Easter Term

Cauchy Distribution: Where Limit Theorems Fail

The Cauchy Distribution

The Cauchy distribution is a continuous probability distribution that serves as a cautionary example: neither the WLLN nor CLT apply.

PDF

f(x)=1π(1+x2),x∈Rf(x) = \frac{1}{\pi(1 + x^2)}, \quad x \in \mathbb{R}

Standard Cauchy has parameters x0=0x_0 = 0 (location) and γ=1\gamma = 1 (scale).

CDF

F(x)=12+1πarctan⁡(x)F(x) = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{\pi}\arctan(x)

Heavy Tails

The Cauchy distribution has very heavy tails. Compare to standard normal:

lim⁡x→∞P(Cauchy>x)P(Normal>x)=∞\lim_{x \to \infty} \frac{P(\text{Cauchy} > x)}{P(\text{Normal} > x)} = \infty

The Cauchy tails decay like x−2x^{-2}, much slower than the normal’s e−x2/2e^{-x^2/2}.

Cauchy vs Normal tails

No Finite Mean

The mean of Cauchy does not exist.

Attempt to Compute Mean

∫−∞∞x⋅1π(1+x2)dx=1π∫−∞∞x1+x2dx\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} x \cdot \frac{1}{\pi(1+x^2)} dx = \frac{1}{\pi} \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} \frac{x}{1+x^2} dx

This integral is principally undefined:

∫−∞0x1+x2dx=−∞\int_{-\infty}^{0} \frac{x}{1+x^2} dx = -\infty

∫0∞x1+x2dx=+∞\int_{0}^{\infty} \frac{x}{1+x^2} dx = +\infty

We get ∞−∞\infty - \infty, which is undefined. Even the Cauchy principal value is 0, but this is not a proper expectation.

No Finite Variance

Without a finite mean, variance is also undefined. In fact, E[X2]=∞E[X^2] = \infty for Cauchy.

Why WLLN and CLT Fail

Both require finite mean and/or variance:

  • WLLN: Requires E[X]<∞E[X] < \infty
  • SLLN: Requires E[X]<∞E[X] < \infty
  • CLT: Requires E[X2]<∞E[X^2] < \infty (finite variance)

Cauchy has neither finite mean nor finite variance.

Average of Cauchy Variables

If X1,X2,…X_1, X_2, \ldots are i.i.d. Cauchy, then Xˉn\bar{X}_n is also Cauchy. It does not concentrate around any value as n→∞n \to \infty.

Intuition: Outliers are so extreme that they dominate the average, even as nn grows.

Physical Interpretation

The Cauchy distribution arises as the distribution of X=tan⁡(θ)X = \tan(\theta) where θ\theta is uniform on (−π/2,π/2)(-\pi/2, \pi/2).

This models:

  • Light refracted at random angle
  • Ratio of two independent normals with mean 0
  • Resonance lines in spectroscopy

Example: Averages Don’t Converge

Generate Cauchy samples and compute running averages. The average will keep jumping around rather than settling to a value.

Unlike normal or exponential samples where Xˉn\bar{X}_n converges, Cauchy averages are “sticky” to extreme values.

Visually Comparing Averages

  • Normal: sample mean stays near 0 after moderate nn
  • Cauchy: sample mean can suddenly jump even for large nn

Averages of Cauchy vs Normal samples

Moral

Limit theorems are powerful, but they have assumptions:

  • i.i.d. samples
  • Finite mean (WLLN, SLLN)
  • Finite variance (CLT, Chebyshev-based WLLN)

The Cauchy distribution shows what happens when these assumptions fail.

Summary

PropertyCauchyNormal
PDF tailsO(x−2)O(x^{-2})O(e−x2/2)O(e^{-x^2/2})
MeanUndefined0
VarianceUndefined1
CLT appliesNoYes
Sample meanAlso CauchyConcentrates